Nintendo has issued what analysts are calling a “conservative” Switch 2 gross sales forecast amid ongoing uncertainty round tariffs.
Reporting its financials this morning, Nintendo forecast 15 million gross sales of the Switch 2 and 45 million recreation gross sales throughout its present monetary 12 months ending March 31, 2026. The Switch 2 goes on sale June 5.
Nintendo mentioned its forecast assumes the U.S. tariff charges that kicked in on April 10 are maintained all through its monetary 12 months, however admitted modifications to the tariff charges could have an effect on its forecast. “We will proceed to observe the state of affairs to answer modifications in market circumstances,” Nintendo mentioned.
Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, known as the 15 million determine “conservative,” saying in a tweet that Nintendo was “doubtless factoring in unpredictability round tariffs, pricing and manufacturing regardless of the constructive pre-order momentum.”
Ahmad adopted up by saying Nintendo might increase its forecast if the tariff state of affairs is reversed. “However, primary subject proper now could be knock on results which can be already in movement and making a tough surroundings for a console launch. Not to say the specter of elevated tariffs.”
It’s price noting that if Switch 2 hits 15 million in its first 12 months, it might go down as one of many greatest console launches of all time, and would exceed the OG Switch’s 14.87 million bought year-one.
Demand for Switch 2 does appear large. After a delay as a consequence of tariffs, Nintendo Switch 2 pre-orders went reside on April 24 with the value of the console nonetheless mounted at $449.99 — they usually went about in addition to you’d count on. Meanwhile, Nintendo has issued a warning to U.S. prospects who utilized for a Switch 2 pre-order from the My Nintendo Store, saying launch date supply just isn’t assured as a consequence of very excessive demand.
Check out IGN’s Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order information for extra.
Wesley is the UK News Editor for IGN. Find him on Twitter at @wyp100. You can attain Wesley at wesley_yinpoole@ign.com or confidentially at wyp100@proton.me.
