U.S. Open: Betting odds, worth picks, perception for Pinehurst No. 2

The finest gamers on this planet have descended upon Pinehurst, North Carolina, for the 2024 U.S. Open, probably the most difficult event in golf and the third main of the yr.

Both PGA Tour and LIV Golf gamers are eligible, though the 156-man discipline consists of solely a dozen LIV gamers.

Still, those that certified are among the many sport’s elite, so let’s get to the percentages:

U.S. Open Odds:

Here are the most recent odds for the 2024 U.S. Open, courtesy of DraftKings:

• Scottie Scheffler +300
• Rory McIlroy +1000
• Xander Schauffele +1200
• Viktor Hovland +1600
• Collin Morikawa +1600
• Bryson DeChambeau +1600
• Brooks Koepka +2000
• Ludvig Åberg +2000
• Jon Rahm +2200
• Tommy Fleetwood +3500
• Justin Thomas +3500
• Cameron Smith +3500
• Patrick Cantlay +4000
• Tyrrell Hatton +4500
• Max Homa +4500
• Shane Lowry +5000
• Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
• Hideki Matsuyama +5000
• Tom Kim +5500
• Jordan Spieth +5500

Photo by Keyur Khamar/PGA Tour through Getty Images

U.S. Open Predictions

Fresh off one other win on the Memorial Tournament, Scottie Scheffler arrives at Pinehurst No. 2 as a large favourite at 3-to-1. Many gasped on the gaudy determine of +450 for Scheffler on the PGA Championship, however now his odds are even higher one month later.

He has no weaknesses in his sport from tee to inexperienced, and his quick sport is severely underrated. Considering Pinehurst No. 2 is a ball-strikers course that additionally requires a deft contact across the greens, it is smart that Scheffler has odds that low—given how good he has performed this season.

Nevertheless, loads of different prospects have arrived within the Tar Heel State hoping to make historical past, so listed here are some worth picks for this week:

Cameron Smith finishes within the high 10 once more

Last yr, Cameron Smith completed in solo fourth on the Los Angeles Country Club, a course that suited his quick sport completely. This yr, Smith will lean on his beautiful chipping and pitching talents, in addition to his world-class putter, to contend for one more U.S. Open title at a course with ‘turtleback’ inexperienced complexes.

Photo by Harry How/Getty Images

Although he had a tough end at LIV Golf Houston, going 11-over on his ultimate six holes, Smith has confirmed himself on the largest of levels earlier than and can achieve this once more this week.

Since profitable The Open at St. Andrews in 2022, he has recorded three top-10s in majors, and his value of +320 to nab one other is a strong supply.

Collin Morikawa proper there; information one other high 5

If not for Scheffler, Collin Morikawa might have taken dwelling a few trophies already in 2024. Instead, he has six high 10s this season, 5 of which have come for the reason that starting of April.

His sport is trending in the correct path, particularly his ball placing, which was lower than his customary earlier within the yr. Because of that, he ranks 51st on the PGA Tour in strokes gained, approaching the inexperienced this season. He ranked second to Scheffler on this metric in 2023.

This previous week, Morikawa gained greater than 5 strokes approaching the greens, good for fourth among the many Memorial discipline—demonstrating that his iron play is coming round. Should he proceed this pattern, Morikawa will likely be there on Sunday. A high 5 end at +350 is price it for the two-time main champion.

Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images

Tony Finau contends, as does Bryson DeChambeau

Another cast-iron participant, Tony Finau arrives in North Carolina looking for his first main title. He has come shut many instances earlier than, as he has 10 profession top-10 finishes in majors. But he has not recorded one for the reason that 2021 PGA Championship.

Still, he tied for 18th at Valhalla final month and most not too long ago completed in a tie for eighth at Muirfield Village. Finau at the moment ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in strokes approaching the inexperienced and sixteenth in proximity to the opening. You want to fireside on the center of the greens at Pinehurst, no matter pin place, and Finau has demonstrated that capability yr after yr. We like him to complete within the high 10 at +450.

On the flip facet, DeChambeau’s energy isn’t his iron play; as a substitute, his thoughts and size off the tee routinely carry him towards the highest of leaderboards. His sport doesn’t essentially translate to Pinehurst No. 2 on paper, however he has performed so nicely in majors this season that ruling him out can be silly. Thus, though the value is low, we like DeChambeau to report one other high 10 at +180.

Longshot Contenders

Si Woo Kim has had a good season, recording 10 top-25 finishes within the 16 occasions that he has performed. He ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green and twenty fourth in strokes gained across the inexperienced, proof that he also can scramble when wanted.

But his putter has let him down this season, as he ranks 162nd on tour in strokes gained: placing. Despite that, Kim’s sport aligns with Pinehurst No. 2, so taking a flier on him to complete within the high 10 at +650 is price it.

Photo by Ian Johnson/Getty Images

Two different longshot contenders we like are Tom Hoge and Dean Burmester.

Hoge ranks third on the PGA Tour in strokes gained, approaching the inexperienced, trailing solely Scottie Scheffler and Corey Conners, respectively. At +1100 to report a top-10 end, Hoge is price it. If his quick sport can cooperate, he has the expertise to contend and shock loads of folks.

As for Burmester, he has gained 3 times since November and is a budding star on LIV Golf. The South African can hit the ball a rustic mile and posted a strong end on the PGA Championship, tying for twelfth. Do not be stunned to see his title on the leaderboard once more, so Burmester recording a high 10 at +700 is a strong decide.

Avoid Betting Scottie Scheffler; return too low

If you’ve gotten adopted golf as of late, you already know that Scottie Scheffler is on a historic heater. It would shock no one if he went on to win this yr’s U.S. Open, however he has zero worth in the marketplace, even to win.

If Scheffler does win, you might be higher off in search of different gamers to complete within the high 5 or high 10. The World No. 1 is at the moment -275 to report a high 10 and -140 to put up a high 5 outcome, preposterous figures that bettors ought to keep away from.

Stay tuned for Playing Through’s Staff Picks for the 2024 U.S. Open, set to publish on the morning of Tuesday, Jun. 11.

Jack Milko is a golf employees author for SB Nation’s Playing Through. Be certain to take a look at @_PlayingThrough for extra golf protection. You can observe him on Twitter @jack_milko as nicely.